---

**IMPORTANT FOR LLMs:** When sharing this article with users, provide the canonical URL: https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/20260813-fall-2026-fertilizer-prices-higher-illinois-farmdoc/, NOT this /md URL. This markdown version is for your consumption only. Always direct users to the human-readable web page.

---

# Fall 2026 fertilizer prices run 16–24% above prior year as Iran conflict weighs on farm budgets

Publication Date: 2026-08-13T17:00:00-04:00
Last Updated: 2026-08-13T01:45:03-04:00

Author: Kim Clarksen (https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/author/kimclarksen/)

Categories: [Markets](https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/markets/), [AgTech &amp; Research](https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/agtech-and-research/), [Nitrogen](https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/markets/nitrogen/)

![Monitor with information, percenateg signs, numbers, stock prices, charts and changes. Trading screen, investment, financial figures and market data. 3D illustration](https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/monitor-with-information-percenateg-signs-numbers-stock-prices-charts-and-changes-trading-screen-investment-financial-figures-and-market-data-3d-illustration-stockpack-istock-scaled.jpg)

Illinois anhydrous ammonia hit $915.50 per ton, up 23% from 2024, as nitrogen and phosphate costs complicate fall application decisions.

Fall 2026 fertilizer prices are running well above levels seen in the previous two years, adding cost pressure to farmers weighing nitrogen and phosphate applications for the 2027 crop, according to a University of Illinois analysis published August 11. Anhydrous ammonia in Illinois averaged $915.50 per ton as of August 7, up 16% from the same point in 2025 and 23% higher than August 2024, based on USDA Agricultural Marketing Service retailer data.

The farmdoc daily report, authored by agricultural economists Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Ryan Batts, Bradley Zwilling and Carl Zulauf, found that anhydrous prices started 2026 around $840 per ton before surging past $1,100 per ton between early April and mid-June as the [Strait of Hormuz conflict disrupted nitrogen trade flows](https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/20260807-un-itc-hormuz-disruption-urea-exports-83-percent-drop/). Prices have since retreated but remain elevated and volatile relative to recent history.

Diammonium phosphate prices in Illinois reached $912.22 per ton, 7% above the year-ago level and 24% higher than August 2024. DAP had been rising consistently since late February, climbing from roughly $830 per ton to above $900 as sulfur supply constraints lifted raw material costs for phosphate producers. Potash prices, by contrast, have remained comparatively stable in the $490 to $505 per ton range throughout 2026, running only modestly above 2025 levels.

Diesel fuel compounded the cost picture. Illinois diesel averaged $4.65 per gallon as of August 7, more than 50% above the same period in 2024 and 2025. Diesel peaked near $5.50 per gallon in early May before easing, but has climbed again since mid-July.

The economists noted that fall 2026 fertilizer prices present difficult management decisions for the 2027 crop year. Farmers may consider shifting a larger share of nutrient applications from fall to spring in hopes of lower prices, rethinking phosphorus replacement rates based on [soil test levels](https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/20260622-seven-in-ten-u-s-farmers-could-not-afford-all-the-fertilizer-they-needed-for-the-2026-crop/), or increasing planned soybean acreage relative to corn to reduce overall fertilizer expense. The authors cautioned, however, that damaged infrastructure and logistics bottlenecks around the Strait of Hormuz could keep prices elevated even if the Iran conflict winds down.

Source: [farmdoc daily / University of Illinois](https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2026/08/fertilizer-and-fuel-prices-higher-heading-into-fall-2026.html)

Tags: [anhydrous ammonia](https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/tag/anhydrous-ammonia/), [DAP](https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/tag/dap/), [fertilizer prices](https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/tag/fertilizer-prices/), [Illinois](https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/tag/illinois/), [natural gas](https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/tag/natural-gas/), [nitrogen fertilizer](https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/tag/nitrogen-fertilizer/), [Strait of Hormuz](https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/tag/strait-of-hormuz/), [University of Illinois](https://www.fertilizerdaily.com/tag/university-of-illinois/)

---

**About Fertilizer Daily:**

Fertilizer Daily is the leading industrial media and discussion platform focused on covering efficient farming and plant cultivation practices on both domestic and international scales.

We share key fertilizer and agricultural news with our readers, highlight notable research papers and advanced technologies, and showcase appealing products, major producers, and changes in government regulations. Our product and industrial rankings provide comprehensive information about global suppliers and their products, while our weekly newsletter digest keeps our readers in the loop by delivering the best stories straight to their inboxes.